Australian election briefing: interest rate landmine looms over cost of living campaign as curry becomes an election metaphor

We’re nicely into this marketing campaign’s fourth week, and the remainder of this election might hinge on what a room of non-descript bankers determine tomorrow afternoon. The Reserve Financial institution’s choice to boost rates of interest (or not) is a possible political landmine in a marketing campaign the place each side have put price of dwelling on the centre of their pitches.

Labor’s Jim Chalmers has already set the tone by describing the potential fee rise because the third of a “triple whammy” of negatives underneath Scott Morrison. The prime minister, alive to the hazard of the second, tut-tutted journalists who requested in regards to the electoral ramifications by claiming “you guys at all times see issues via a very political lens”.

Anthony Albanese, on a excessive after a profitable Labor marketing campaign launch in Perth alongside the state’s emperor Mark McGowan, jetted straight to Brisbane to rub shoulders with Queensland’s Annastacia Palaszczuk.

The place the leaders have been

Morrison began the day in Sydney, at an Islamic neighborhood Eid celebration in Parramatta (Labor-held, 3.5% margin), the place he bumped into former PM Kevin Rudd and Labor candidate Andrew Charlton. Morrison then went to Geelong, to the seat of Corangamite (Labor, 1%) for a press convention and to go to a retirement village the place he chatted to residents and performed pool.

Scott Morrison plays pool with residents at Lifestyle Communities Mount Duneed retirement village in South Geelong.
Scott Morrison performs pool with residents at Way of life Communities Mount Duneed retirement village in South Geelong. Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP

It was then over to Torquay for a $6m dedication to the native surf membership.

Albanese was in Brisbane, main a Could Day march with the Queensland Premier and Labor candidates together with Milton Dick, Anika Wells and Rebecca Fanning. Earlier, he gave a press convention with Chalmers, Amanda Rishworth and Tony Burke.

In a speech to the rally, Albanese stated “I’m counting on you, Brisbane, to convey this dwelling”. Labor is especially focusing on town seats of Brisbane and Ryan. The Could Day commerce union rally was, unsurprisingly, a Labor-friendly occasion. Katharine Murphy, presently travelling with the Albanese marketing campaign, made a word of the soundtrack.

Hate to interrupt it to you however the heat up band for Albanese and different audio system on the Could day rally in Brisvegas is presently belting out April Solar in Cuba #auspol@AmyRemeikis

— Katharine Murphy (@murpharoo) Could 2, 2022

Labor didn’t have a particular announcement right this moment, nonetheless coasting on the excessive of yesterday’s Perth marketing campaign launch, however Albanese did decide to the identical enlargement of the Commonwealth Seniors Well being Card made by the Coalition.

In the present day’s large tales

Rates of interest: The Reserve Financial institution will meet tomorrow to take into account whether or not to boost the official money fee. It could be uncommon, however not exceptional, for rates of interest to rise throughout an election marketing campaign, and economists say a surging inflation determine means charges should rise both tomorrow or subsequent month. A charges bump may additionally spell bother for the Coalition on the polls, with Morrison campaigning on claims of being a greater financial supervisor. “What occurs tomorrow offers with what individuals pay on their mortgages. That's what I'm involved about. It isn't about what it means for politics,” the PM stated when requested about whether or not it might damage his prospects.

Newspoll: Labor has maintained a 53-47 lead within the polls for the fourth week working, indicating the opposition’s lead is stable and baked-in (at this stage), and that the six-week election marketing campaign isn’t altering many minds (not but, at the least). Labor’s main vote even ticked up a degree from final week. If the consequence was replicated uniformly throughout the nation, it might imply a lack of 10 seats for the Coalition – however after all, the outcomes are by no means replicated uniformly, and this election remains to be anticipated to be a seat-by-seat dogfight.

By no means tweet: two Labor candidates have deleted their social media accounts after embarrassing outdated posts have been unearthed. Brian Mitchell, MP for the essential marginal seat of Lyons, wrote in 2011 “I'll gargle balls for cash to purchase an Ipad2”; Mich-Elle Myers, a Labor vice-president and NSW Senate candidate, tweeted “Jesus was homosexual” in 2013. Each seem to have deleted their accounts.

Inventory photographs: And whereas one among Albanese’s central election pitches is “A Future Made in Australia”, it appears he’s pleased with election adverts partly made abroad. Labor’s marketing campaign launch yesterday aired a Russell Crowe-voiced video backing Albanese’s imaginative and prescient – and it makes use of overseas inventory photographs filmed abroad.

Quote of the day

Generally you guys at all times see issues via a very political lens. I don’t.

– Prime minister Scott Morrison, who holds the very best political workplace within the land, at a political press convention talking to political journalists about politics.

How social media noticed it

As Sarah Martin reported from Rockhampton final week, Morrison instructed a fruit store proprietor that he was shopping for elements for a curry over the weekend. He adopted via on the kitchen dedication – however we didn’t anticipate it to show right into a metaphor for the election.

That is fairly the non sequitur pic.twitter.com/BtWG6EL6Dn

— Stephanie Dalzell (@steph_dalzell) Could 1, 2022

“Sturdy curry. Sturdy economic system,” the PM placed on Fb.

For a begin, it gave individuals some sturdy flashbacks to the unbelievable “curry for the nation” explosion from Michaelia Money.

The time Michaelia Money misplaced her thoughts over a journalist mentioning curry pic.twitter.com/d32JEoDCPP

— Batshit moments in Australian Politics (@batshit_auspol) April 2, 2022

However others took a more in-depth take a look at the rooster.

Sturdy Curry. Sturdy Economic system 🤣 Stronger Future 🤣 ... Uncooked Rooster. pic.twitter.com/24I1mloHVW

— Coalition Tea Woman (@ItsBouquet) Could 1, 2022

This from Amy nearly sums it up:

The period of time this web site spends on curry discourse is definitely unbelievable

— Amy Remeikis (@AmyRemeikis) Could 2, 2022

The large image

Prime minister Scott Morrison shakes hands with former prime minister, Kevin Rudd, before the Eid prayer service in Parramatta Park.
Prime minister Scott Morrison shakes fingers with former prime minister, Kevin Rudd, earlier than the Eid prayer service in Parramatta Park. Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP

Watch: Frydenberg’s marketing campaign

Josh Frydenberg admitted over the weekend he was in for a struggle to carry his Kooyong seat. He positive pulled out all of the stops for his marketing campaign launch although:

One of many much less anticipated moments at @JoshFrydenberg’s marketing campaign launch right this moment. pic.twitter.com/L9GF2ey9p8

— Blake Johnson (@BlakeJohnson) Could 1, 2022

The treasurer, battling impartial Monique Ryan, managed to squeeze in a little bit of dinner and dancing whereas on the hustings too:

Simply ensuring all of us noticed this TikTok of Josh Frydenberg pic.twitter.com/QYFmaRe8cA

— Sally Rugg (@sallyrugg) Could 2, 2022

Hear: Full Story’s marketing campaign catchup

Political editor Katharine Murphy has been following the opposition chief, Anthony Albanese, across the nation. She speaks to Jane Lee from Brisbane about who Albanese is making an attempt to persuade to vote for his celebration and the place Labor must win to kind authorities.

Full Story

Marketing campaign catchup: has Labor’s marketing campaign launch set them up for victory?

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