Seats to watch: the electorates that could decide who will win the federal election

With opinion polls suggesting an in depth contest between Labor and the Coalition on the federal election on 21 Might, the ultimate end result may come all the way down to a handful of seats.

Listed below are the federal seats to look at because the election outcomes are available in:

New South Wales

Hunter

Hunter is a rural seat in coal nation that covers Cessnock, Singleton and Muswellbrook. It has been Labor-held since 1936 however the social gathering suffered a significant swing in opposition to it in 2019 and the long-time member, Joel Fitzgibbon, has retired.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 3%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Hunter right here.

Warringah

Warringah is a rich metropolitan seat spanning the Northern Seashores, Mosman and elements of North Sydney. Previous to unbiased candidate Zali Steggall snagging the seat from Tony Abbott in 2019, the seat has been Coalition-held since 1969.

It's presently held by Steggall with a margin of 7.3%.

North Sydney

North Sydney is an inner-city seat spanning 53 sq km throughout the harbour from the CBD. It has been held by the Coalition for all however six years since federation. Nonetheless, the sitting MP, Trent Zimmerman, is dealing with a robust marketing campaign from teal unbiased Kylea Tink and Labor candidate Catherine Renshaw.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 9.3%.

Wentworth

Wentworth is geographically the second-smallest voters within the nation, nestled into Sydney’s jap suburbs. It's historically a secure conservative seat, nevertheless, unbiased Kerryn Phelps briefly held it following the retirement of former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull. Teal unbiased candidate Allegra Spender is vying for the seat this time.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 1.3%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Wentworth right here.

Reid

Women cross the street in Strathfield, in the marginal electorate of Reid.
Ladies cross the road in Strathfield, within the marginal voters of Reid. Photograph: Carly Earl/The Guardian

Reid is a Sydney seat that straddles the inner-west and western suburbs, extending from the Parramatta River to Croydon. Previous to 2013, it was extraordinarily secure Labor territory till main redistribution modifications in 2010 moved the seat east.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 3.2%.

You'll find learn our profile of Reid right here.

Parramatta

Parramatta is a key western Sydney seat spanning Carlingford, Rydalmere, Toongabbie and South Wentworthville. The seat has been held by either side of politics, however the Labor MP, Julie Owens, is retiring and the social gathering controversially parachuted in former Kevin Rudd adviser Andrew Charlton to exchange her.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 3.6%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Parramatta right here.

Fowler

Fowler is a extremely numerous voters located in Sydney’s south-west that takes in Cabramatta and Liverpool. It has been a secure Labor seat since its creation in 1984. Nonetheless, the sitting MP is retiring and Kristina Keneally, who was parachuted in by the Labor head workplace, is dealing with a tightening contest from high-profile unbiased Dai Le.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 14%.

You'll be able to learn a latest story on the race right here.

Macquarie

Macquarie is a extremely marginal voters spanning the Blue Mountains and Hawkesbury areas west of Sydney, between Glenbrook and Mount Victoria. The seat has been held by Labor since 2016 however has pivoted between the 2 main events.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 0.2%.

Gilmore

Gilmore is a rural seat on the south coast overlaying the Kiama and Shoalhaven native authorities areas, and was badly affected by the Black Summer time bushfires. The sitting MP is up in opposition to high-profile Liberal candidate Andrew Constance, who gained reputation through the pure catastrophe.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 2.7%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Gilmore right here.

Victoria

Liberal candidate Tim Wilson is seen outside an early voting centre in Goldstein in Melbourne.
Goldstein Liberal MP Tim Wilson is dealing with a problem to retain his prosperous Melbourne seat. Photograph: Luis Ascui/AAP

Goldstein

Goldstein is an inner-city seat in Melbourne’s south-east, taking within the prosperous beachside suburbs of Brighton, Hampton, Sandringham and Beaumaris. It has been held by the Coalition because it was created in 1984 however teal unbiased Zoe Daniel has run a high-profile marketing campaign.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 7.8%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Goldstein right here.

Chisholm

Chisholm is a extremely marginal seat in Melbourne’s jap suburbs, overlaying elements of Field Hill and Blackburn within the north to Chadstone and Wheelers Hill. It's a historically marginal seat, whereas a latest redistribution that shifted the seat south has decreased the Coalition’s margin by 0.1%.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 0.5%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Chisholm right here.

Kooyong

Kooyong is an inner-city Melbourne voters spanning prosperous suburbs east of the CBD. The “jewel within the crown” of the Liberal social gathering is being contested by teal unbiased Monique Ryan, and redistribution modifications have partially eroded the margin of the sitting member and treasurer, Josh Frydenberg.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 5.7%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Kooyong right here.

Corangamite

Corangamite sits to Melbourne’s south-west, taking in elements of Geelong and increasing from Queenscliff to Torquay. New boundaries have considerably decreased the seat’s space with out lowering Labor’s margin. It's a historically conservative seat, and three of Labor’s 5 wins have been since 2007.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 1%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Corangamite right here.

Nicholls

Nicholls is a rural seat spanning 14,773 sq km west from Yarrawonga alongside the Murray River to Echuca, together with the regional metropolis of Shepparton. The sitting member, Damian Drum, is retiring, prompting a three-way contest within the historically conservative seat between the Nationals, the Liberals and fashionable Shepparton councillor Rob Priestly, operating as an unbiased.

It's presently held by the Nationals with a margin of 20%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Nicholls right here.

Higgins

Higgins, in Melbourne’s inside south-east, extends from Prahran to Malvern East, and takes in elements of Ashburton, Murrumbeena and Ormond. Higgins has been a Liberal seat since 1975 however a redistribution forward of the election that added Windsor and eliminated a part of Glen Iris and all of Hughesdale has favoured Labor.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 3.7%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Higgins right here.

Queensland

People scooter along the river in Brisbane’s CBD.
The Coalition is dealing with a robust contest from each Labor and the Greens within the CBD seat of Brisbane. Photograph: Dan Peled/Dan Peled for The Guardian Australia

Brisbane

Brisbane covers the CBD and inner-city suburbs on the northern facet of the Brisbane River. Previous to a redistribution in 2010, it was secure Labor territory however has been held by the Coalition for the previous 12 years. The Liberals are dealing with a robust contest from each Labor and the Greens.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 5%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Brisbane right here.

Ryan

Ryan sits in Brisbane’s western suburbs, extending south from Mitchelton and Ferny Grove to Moggill. It has been held by Labor as soon as since 1949 however the Greens have elevated in reputation and inner Labor polling exhibits the social gathering can be in rivalry to nab the seat.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 6.1%.

Flynn

Flynn is a rural seat with two-thirds of its voters dwelling exterior the primary inhabitants centre of Gladstone, taking in farmland, coal seam gasoline drilling and unionised cities. The seat, created in 2007, was some of the marginal within the nation earlier than the 2019 election. With the LNP MP retiring, One Nation and the United Australia social gathering could have a robust affect this time round.

It's presently held by the Nationals with a margin of 8.7%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Flynn right here.

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Longman

Longman is a predominantly city seat north of Brisbane stretching from Bribie Island and Caboolture to Woodford and Bellthorpe. Longman has swapped arms at 4 of the previous 5 federal elections because it was created in 1996 and is shaping as much as be one other battle.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 3.3%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Longman right here.

Griffith

Griffith covers inner-city suburbs in the direction of the south of the Brisbane River, extending alongside the river from Morningside to Fairfield. It has been held by the Liberal social gathering as soon as since 1977 however has seen a robust desire push from Labor to the Greens.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 2.9%.

Leichhardt

Leichhardt covers the Cairns metropolitan space extending north alongside the Marlin Coast, together with all of the Torres Strait islands. The voters tends to stay near the state pattern and was a Labor stronghold. Nonetheless, Warren Entsch has held the seat for all however three years since 1996.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 4.2%.

Tasmania

Fishermen on Burnie Jetty set against mountains of woodchips ready for loading at Burnie port in the Tasmanian seat of Braddon.
Fishermen on the Burnie jetty in Braddon – a seat extra Liberal leaning than the remainder of Tasmania. Photograph: Mike Bowers/The Guardian

Braddon

Braddon is a rural seat spanning 21,000 sq km within the north-west, overlaying Queenstown, Strahan, Burnie and King Island. It's extra Liberal leaning than the remainder of the state however the native senator Jacqui Lambie has confirmed her candidate will desire Labor above the Coalition.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 3.1%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Braddon right here.

Bass

Bass spans practically 7,900 sq km in Tasmania’s north-east, together with Launceston, George City and Flinders Island. The reasonable Liberal MP, Bridget Archer, narrowly wrangled the seat from Labor in 2019 and can profit from being preferenced above Labor by the Jacquie Lambie Community.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 0.5%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Bass right here.

Lyons

Lyons is a rural seat and Tasmania’s largest, stretching alongside the east coast and increasing west to the central and southern midlands. It has solely been held by the Coalition twice since being created in 1984 however battles are traditionally tight.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 5.2%.

Western Australia

Independent Kate Chaney is contesting the seat of Curtin.
Impartial Kate Chaney is placing stress on the Liberals the prosperous Perth seat of Curtin. Photograph: David Dare Parker/The Guardian

Curtin

Curtin is an inside metropolitan seat that spans the prosperous western suburbs of Perth, together with elements of Stirling, Mosman Park and Subiaco. It has been a secure Liberal or conservative seat because it was created in 1949. However this time, the sitting member is beneath stress from unbiased Kate Chaney.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 13.9%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Curtin right here.

Hasluck

Hasluck is an outer metropolitan seat overlaying Perth’s north-east nook, encompassing Guildford, Mundaring and a part of Swan and Kalamunda. It has been held by Ken Wyatt since 2010 however is dealing with a swing to Labor.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 5.9%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Hasluck right here.

Swan

Swan is an inside metropolitan seat in central Perth extending east from Como to Maida Vale. The Liberal MP, Steve Irons, is retiring after 15 years in parliament and, previous to his election, it was a swinging seat.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 3.2%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Swan right here.

South Australia

Boothby

Boothby is an outer metropolitan seat spanning Adelaide’s blue-ribbon southern suburbs. The seat has been in conservative arms for the reason that Forties however with the sitting MP, Nicolle Flint, departing, this 12 months is shaping as much as be a three-way contest between Labor, the Coalition and teal unbiased Jo Dyer.

It's presently held by the Liberals with a margin of 1.4%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Boothby right here.

Northern Territory

People walking out with groceries at Ramingining supermarket in the Northern Territory, past signs for Labor’s Lingiari candidate Marion Scrymgour.
Individuals stroll previous indicators for Labor’s Lingiari candidate Marion Scrymgour in Ramingining. Photograph: Isabella Moore/The Guardian

Lingiari

Lingiari covers nearly all of the Northern Territory, except for the Darwin municipality and most of Palmerston. It has been held by the Labor MP, Warren Snowdon, because it was created in 2001, however his departure this election might damage the social gathering’s assist.

It's presently held by Labor with a margin of 5.5%.

You'll be able to learn our profile of Lingiari right here.

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