Labor will govern in majority with 77 seats after 21 electorates flipped in the course of the election. The crossbench has doubled to 16, with seven new independents. This consists of six self-identified teals.
There was a 5% swing towards the Coalition nationally, however the swing in lots of seats was far bigger. Virtually half of the seats that flipped have been beforehand thought of protected or pretty protected. 5 of these have been gained by independents.
The key events additionally obtained their lowest recorded first choice vote, persevering with a downward pattern that stretches again many years.
Utilizing information from the Australian Electoral Fee and our seat explorer, Guardian Australia has crunched the numbers to assist clarify the election outcome. The seat outcomes are based mostly on predictions and, as of writing, none of those seats have been formally declared by the AEC.
The Coalition misplaced 18 seats, 10 went to Labor and 6 to independents. The Greens picked up three seats in Queensland, two from the Coalition and one from Labor.
The United Australia social gathering misplaced its solely seat after the Liberals retook Hughes. Craig Kelly had gained Hughes as a Liberal candidate in earlier elections however defected over the past parliament.
Labor misplaced two seats – Griffith to the Greens and Fowler to an impartial.
Despite the fact that seat boundaries can change, many had been held constantly by one social gathering – Fowler by Labor, and Goldstein and Pearce by the Coalition.
Kooyong and Boothby had been held by the Coalition because the Forties. Plenty of equally long-held seats additionally got here near being misplaced – with Bradfield in Sydney’s north seeing an virtually 15% swing towards the Coalition on first preferences.
Within the desk beneath you may see how lengthy the seats that flipped had been held, in addition to the earlier margin.
Mackellar, Fowler and Curtin have been all gained by independents regardless of incumbents having margins larger than 13%.
Actually, 9 of the 21 flipped seats have been beforehand thought of protected or pretty protected seats – the place the incumbent gained greater than 56% or 60% of the vote respectively on the earlier election.
Lastly, the overwhelming majority of the seats the Coalition misplaced have been in inside metropolitan areas. This consists of long-held seats similar to Goldstein and Kooyong in Melbourne.
This matches the 7.5% swing towards the Coalition on first preferences votes in inside metropolitan areas.
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