No one in physics dares say so, but the race to invent new particles is pointless

Imagine you go to a zoology convention. The primary speaker talks about her 3D mannequin of a 12-legged purple spider that lives within the Arctic. There’s no proof it exists, she admits, but it surely’s a testable speculation, and he or she argues that a mission must be despatched off to go looking the Arctic for spiders.

The second speaker has a mannequin for a flying earthworm, but it surely flies solely in caves. There’s no proof for that both, however he petitions to go looking the world’s caves. The third one has a mannequin for octopuses on Mars. It’s testable, he stresses.

Kudos to zoologists, I’ve by no means heard of such a convention. However nearly each particle physics convention has classes identical to this, besides they do it with extra maths. It has change into frequent amongst physicists to invent new particles for which there isn't a proof, publish papers about them, write extra papers about these particles’ properties, and demand the speculation be experimentally examined. Many of those checks have really been accomplished, and extra are being commissioned as we communicate. It's losing money and time.

Because the Nineteen Eighties, physicists have invented a whole particle zoo, whose inhabitants carry names like preons, sfermions, dyons, magnetic monopoles, simps, wimps, wimpzillas, axions, flaxions, erebons, accelerons, cornucopions, large magnons, maximons, macros, wisps, fips, branons, skyrmions, chameleons, cuscutons, planckons and sterile neutrinos, to say just some. We even had a (fortunately short-lived) fad of “unparticles”.

All experiments on the lookout for these particles have come again empty-handed, specifically people who have regarded for particles that make up darkish matter, a kind of matter that supposedly fills the universe and makes itself noticeable by its gravitational pull. Nevertheless, we have no idea that darkish matter is certainly manufactured from particles; and even whether it is, to elucidate astrophysical observations one doesn't must know particulars of the particles’ behaviour. The Giant Hadron Collider (LHC) hasn’t seen any of these particles both, although, earlier than its launch, many theoretical physicists had been assured it will see at the very least just a few.

Speak to particle physicists in personal, and plenty of of them will admit they don't really consider these particles exist. They justify their work by claiming that it's good follow, or that each on occasion one in all them by chance comes up with an thought that's helpful for one thing else. A military of typewriting monkeys might also generally produce a helpful sentence. However is that this technique?

Experimental particle physicists know of the issue, and attempt to distance themselves from what their colleagues in concept improvement do. On the identical time, they revenue from it, as a result of all these hypothetical particles are utilized in grant proposals to justify experiments. And so the experimentalists hold their mouths shut, too. This leaves individuals like me, who've left the sector – I now work in astrophysics – as the one ones ready and keen to criticise the scenario.

There are various components which have contributed to this unhappy decline of particle physics. Partly the issue is social: most individuals who work within the area (I was one in all them)genuinely consider that inventing particles is nice process as a result of it’s what they've discovered, and what all their colleagues are doing.

However I consider the most important contributor to this pattern is a misunderstanding of Karl Popper’s philosophy of science, which, to make a protracted story brief, calls for that a good scientific thought must be falsifiable. Particle physicists appear to have misconstrued this to imply that any falsifiable thought can also be good science.

Prior to now, predictions for brand spanking new particles had been appropriate solely when including them solved an issue with the present theories. For instance, the presently accepted concept of elementary particles – the Commonplace Mannequin – doesn’t require new particles; it really works simply effective the way in which it's. The Higgs boson, then again, was required to unravel an issue. The antiparticles that Paul Dirac predicted had been likewise obligatory to unravel an issue, and so had been the neutrinos that had been predicted by Wolfgang Pauli. The fashionable new particles don’t remedy any issues.

In some instances, the brand new particles’ process is to make a concept extra aesthetically interesting, however in lots of instances their function is to suit statistical anomalies. Every time an anomaly is reported, particle physicists will rapidly write a whole bunch of papers about how new particles allegedly clarify the commentary. This behaviour is so frequent they also have a identify for it: “ambulance-chasing”, after the anecdotal technique of legal professionals to comply with ambulances within the hope of discovering new purchasers.

Ambulance-chasing is an effective technique to additional one’s profession in particle physics. Most of these papers go peer assessment and get printed as a result of they aren't technically incorrect. And since ambulance-chasers cite one another’s papers, they will every rack up a whole bunch of citations rapidly. But it surely’s a nasty technique for scientific progress. After the anomaly has disappeared, these papers will change into irrelevant.

This process of inventing particles after which ruling them out has been occurring so lengthy that there are millions of tenured professors with analysis teams who make a residing from this. It has change into typically accepted follow within the physics group. Nobody even questions whether or not it is smart. At the least not in public.

I consider there are breakthroughs ready to be made within the foundations of physics; the world wants technological advances greater than ever earlier than, and now just isn't the time to idle round inventing particles, arguing that even a blind hen generally finds a grain. As a former particle physicist, it saddens me to see that the sector has change into a manufacturing unit for ineffective tutorial papers.

  • Sabine Hossenfelder is a physicist on the Frankfurt Institute for Superior Research, Germany. She is writer of Existential Physics: A Scientist’s Information to Life’s Greatest Questions and creator of the YouTube Channel Science With out the Gobbledygook.

  • Do you will have an opinion on the problems raised on this article? If you want to submit a letter of as much as 300 phrases to be thought of for publication, e-mail it to us at guardian.letters@theguardian.com

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