Surviving as the March Madness champion is a team effort, but the star crowned with the Final Four’s Most Outstanding Player award will have played a special part.
With the first weekend in the books, March Madness brackets we’re definitely busted and March Madness odds to win MVP saw a little bit of a shakeup from the opening lines, as two No. 1s and two No. 2 seeds failed to reach the Sweet 16.
The MOP odds have finally returned after Round 2 wrapped up Sunday night — check out the odds board and the new favorites in our full breakdown below.
March Madness 2023 MVP Odds
Player | Position | Odds |
---|---|---|
Brandon Miller | G | +410 |
Marcus Sasser | G | +850 |
Jaime Jaquez Jr. | G | +1,100 |
Adama Sanogo | F | +1,300 |
Drew Timme | F | +1,400 |
Jarace Walker | F | +1,700 |
Marcus Carr | G | +1,700 |
Tramon Mark | G | +2,200 |
Ryan Nembhard | G | +2,300 |
Ryan Kalkbrenner | C | +2,400 |
Jordan Hawkins | G | +2,600 |
Mark Sears | G | +2,900 |
Noah Clowney | F | +2,900 |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of March 20, 2023.
March Madness 2023 MVP favorites
Brandon Miller (+410)
There was no shortage of drama surrounding Alabama this season and more specifically Brandon Miller, but alas here we are. Alabama has looked like the No. 1-overall seed in the tournament, winning each of its first two tourney games by 21+ points.
A projected Top 3 pick in the upcoming draft, the 6-foot-9 freshman had an auspicious start to March Madness, going scoreless in 19 minutes against No. 16 Texas A&M-CC, but his second-round effort against Maryland — 19 points and seven rebounds — is more in line with what we’ve seen this year from a guy who led his team in points and rebounds this season.
Marcus Sasser (+850)
The star of the Houston Cougars backcourt, Sasser opened as the betting favorite, but then he re-aggravated his groin injury in Thursday win, putting doubt into his (and the team’s) status in the futures market.
However, Sasser returned to play in Saturday’s win over Auburn, scoring 22 points in 31 minutes — while “playing at 60%.”
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (+1,100)
With the UCLA Bruins eyeing another deep tournament run, it’s no shock to see senior guard Jaime Jaquez Jr. on the board.
He scored 17 points in a blowout win in Round 1 but his services were certainly needed in Round 2 and he answered the call with a 24-8-4 stat line on 57.9% shooting and just one turnover in the 68-73 win.
Latest March Madness MVP odds analysis
3/20, 9:00 a.m.: March Madness MVP odds returned at FanDuel this morning with Alabama’s Brandon Miller in the top spot and Marcus Sasser from Houston at No. 2. Other notables include Jaime Jaquez Jr. from UCLA and Drew Timme from Gonzaga, both available at better than 15/1.
Previous March Madness MVP odds analysis
3/19, 10:22 a.m.: March Madness MVP odds remain off the board across all major sportsbooks, although when they do return, Houston’s Marcus Sasser should again be at the top, as concerns about his groin were alleviated when he played 31 minutes in a Round 2 win over Maryland.
One team that won’t be represented when odds return is Kansas, which was upset in the second round by Arkansas. The Jayhawks had a number of players near the top of the original MOP odds board, including Jalen Wilson, Gradey Dick, and Kevin McCullar Jr.
3/17, 10:30 a.m.: March Madness MVP odds are off the board at major outlets, with the overall favorite — Houston’s Marcus Sasser — re-injuring himself in the Cougars’ opening-round victory.
Sasser had injured his groin the week prior, but Houston felt the gamble to play him in the Round of 64 was a safe enough one. Oops.
His status for the rest of the tournament remains uncertain, freezing this market for oddsmakers as they await word on his prognosis.
3/13, 11:35 a.m.:March Madness MVP odds have now hit the board, albeit only at a handful of books.
Unibet is currently heavy on the top teams: The Houston Cougars comprise five of the Top 6 players on the board, led by star guard Marcus Sasser at +720, while Alabama (led by Brandon Miller at +800) has three of the Top 9 favorites, and Kansas’ Jalen Wilson (+1,100) is in the Top 7… but then the Jayhawks have four other players in the Top 20.
Outside of those favorites, UCLA’s backcourt duo of Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Tyger Campbell, Purdue star Zach Edey, Gonzaga’s Drew Timme, UConn’s Adama Sonogo, Arizona’s Azuolas Tubelis, and Baylor’s Keyontae George are the only other players available at 20/1 or shorter.
How is the March Madness MVP decided?
The honor of March Madness MVP is awarded by the Associated Press after the NCAA Tournament. Most often, the Most Outstanding Player comes from the NCAA championship team. There have been a dozen players named MVP that weren’t on championship teams.
History of the March Madness MVP
Not all Final Four MVPs go on to the pros, but they live on forever in NCAA Tournament glory — especially if you bet on their odds to win March Madness MVP. Tournament MVPs almost always come from the winning team. The last player to be named MVP whose team did not win was Hakeem Olajuwon for the Houston Cougars in 1983.
Most betting sites have offered odds on the tournament MVP for a few years now, but sportsbooks based in Nevada have only been allowed to book this March Madness prop since 2016.
Year | MVP | School |
---|---|---|
2022 | Ochai Agbaji | Kansas |
2021 | Jared Butler | Baylor |
2020 | No tournament | |
2019 | Kyle Guy | Virginia |
2018 | Donte DiVincenzo | Villanova |
2017 | Joel Berry | North Carolina |
2016 | Ryan Arcidiacono | Villanova |
2015 | Tyus Jones | Duke |
2014 | Shabazz Napier | UConn |
2013 | Luke Hancock | Louisville |
2012 | Anthony Davis | Kentucky |
2011 | Kemba Walker | UConn |
2010 | Kyle Singler | Duke |
2009 | Wayne Ellington | North Carolina |
2008 | Mario Chalmers | Kansas |
2007 | Corey Brewer | Florida |
2006 | Joakim Noah | Florida |
2005 | Sean May | North Carolina |
2004 | Emeka Okafor | UConn |
2003 | Carmelo Anthony | Syracuse |
2002 | Juan Dixon | Maryland |
2001 | Shane Battier | Duke |
2000 | Mateen Cleaves | Michigan St |
The above odds for March Madness MVP are listed in American format. Using Kyle Guy as an example, his odds were listed as +525. This means that a $100 wager would have profited $525. Going back a year to Donte DiVincenzo, a $100 wager would have profited $1700.
American odds can be converted to decimal or fractional using our odds converter.
March Madness MVP trends
- March Madness MVP odds are usually topped by multiple players from the top-seeded teams in the NCAA Tournament.
- Final Four MVP odds are released after Selection Sunday and will adjust throughout the tournament as teams advance and get eliminated.
- 68 of the 80 March Madness MVP winners have come from championship-winning teams.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here
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