Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks and odds: Back McDavid, Edmonton to win

The Edmonton Oilers visit the Toronto Maple Leafs in a must-see Saturday night battle.

The pregame narrative: Edmonton’s catching fire and is one of the league’s better road teams, making the squad a nice underdog selection. These are two of the NHL’s better offences, giving us confidence in the over cashing. Lastly, we’re expecting the visitors to continue their scoring ways in the middle frame.

Check out our Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks for March 11.

NHL odds as of 4:27 p.m. on 03/10/2023.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs picks

Best Bet: Oilers moneyline (+104)

Edmonton is a team we’re happy to back as an underdog on the road for a few reasons.

The Oilers are enjoying better success away from Rogers Place this season, owning an impressive 20-10-3 record on the road, resulting in a 60.6% win percentage. At home, they’re just 16-12-5 with a subpar winning mark of 48.5%.

They are coming into this matchup hot, too, winning four of their last five games including impressive victories over the Boston Bruins and these very same Maple Leafs.

Toronto is returning from a lengthy five-game road trip and will have been off for three days ahead of this tilt. The Oilers just took advantage of a well-rested Boston team and it wouldn’t shock anyone if the Buds were a little groggy to begin this one.

Take the plus-money value on Edmonton.

Key stat: The Oilers have won nine of their last 14 road games.

Quick picks

Over 7 goals (+110): Toronto’s goalie of choice for Saturday’s game is why we’re leaning toward the over.

Matt Murray is getting the start and he’s failing to find much success on home ice. Murray’s 4-1-1 home record is encouraging, but his abysmal .888 save percentage leaves much to be desired.

The Oilers have uncharacteristically gone under this total in back-to-back games, but they remain the NHL’s best overs team. They’ve cashed an over bet in 66.7% of their contests.

Oilers over 1 goal - Period 2 (-124): Edmonton has more second-period goals (104) than any other team in the NHL has in any of the three periods.

They’re averaging 1.58 goals in the second period, which firmly puts this wager in play.

The Oilers are on a nice run of middle-period markers, also, registering at least one in eight consecutive contests. They’ve scored two or more in five of those outings.

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